__________________________________________________________________________ DUDA: Poland Is Being Pushed Toward War by Ukraine’s Drone Operation Three days ago, the magazine Myśl Polska published a remarkable article written by its editorial team. In it, former Polish President Andrzej Duda states that as Ukraine’s forces weaken, Poland is being pushed into becoming the next Ukraine. He asserts that the recent drone incident was orchestrated by Ukraine as part of a plan to drag Poland into war. A Divided Poland One must ask whether this is just Duda’s personal view, or whether he is speaking from access to inside information. It seems credible that a former president could have intelligence and contacts to get such information. Similarly, the current president from the same PiS party, Karol Nawrocki, barely won the presidency against a candidate supported by Donald Tusk’s party—a victory that, some claim, was an objective of the EU. The country’s leadership is seen as split: on one side the EU/globalist camp represented by Prime Minister Donald Tusk and Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski, and on the other side the “Poland First” patriots. This division, it is claimed, also runs deep within the populace. Poland’s War Camp vs. The Peace Camp Tusk and Sikorski are accused of having supported Ukraine’s war from the very beginning. For example, Sikorski allegedly organized paramilitary training for the Right Sector in 2013 in Leganovo, Poland, including instruction in riot control and sniper use, skills used later during Maidán. The globalist side, according to the article, wants war; the Poland First camp is more cautious. In Finland, the article claims, such a division does not exist: all media and officialdom uniformly support war. Polish Public Rejects The Propaganda A recent poll in Poland is cited: 38% believe Ukraine sent drones into Poland; 34% believe Russia did. The claim is that the propaganda machine has failed to sway many Poles. Further speculation is made that in former Soviet republics people are better at recognizing propaganda because of their Soviet-era experience. Preference for Peace The Myśl Polska article asks: What more needs to happen to convince Poles that this war must end as soon as possible, at any cost—especially if Ukraine bears more of the costs? The article claims that some so-called “pseudo-realists” argue the war should continue because the longer it lasts, the more Russia (and Ukraine) bleed, thus, in a twisted logic, Poland’s security increases. Events like the recent drone incident, however, are used to argue that Poland and Poles are not safe as long as the neighboring conflict continues, with all its planned and accidental consequences. That is why the article argues Poland’s interest would lie in making peace as quickly as possible. Moreover, delaying Ukraine’s defeat only increases threat—including toward Poland. What Poland Could Do, According to the Article Poland supposedly has little control over how or when the war ends. But it could influence outcomes by declaring full neutrality, withdrawing aid to Kyiv, blocking the use of Polish territory or infrastructure for Ukrainian military aid, and aligning with Hungary to obstruct EU/NATO measures to continue the war. The call is for a realistic, swift peace, warning that the next air strike might not be a mock or staged one. Drone Sent by Ukraine? From the article: “The haste of London and especially Berlin to express verbal support shows clearly that we are dealing with Russian drones which Ukrainians likely controlled or re-routed or transported, under direct orders of Western European instigators. The same people who gradually accustom us to the threat of inevitable war.” Decision about Poland’s Involvement Made Elsewhere Also claimed: “Even President Andrzej Duda recently confirmed what was widely suspected—that Poland is next, according to the instigators of this war. And the decision on this matter is still being weighed—not in Kyiv, nor in Warsaw, but somewhere between London, Berlin, and Washington.” Finnish Comparison “Here in Finland, such debate would not take place, it would be dismissed as ‘Putinism’ or spreading defeatism. No one would be allowed to say that the most common opinion in Poland is that Ukraine sent the drones to Poland.” Fact-Check: What Sources Confirm, What Is Unverified Here is what I found in credible sources: Claim Confirmed / Partially Confirmed Sources / Comments Andrzej Duda has claimed that Ukraine tried to pressure Warsaw to blame Russia for the 2022 Przewodów missile strike Confirmed In several recent interviews and reports, Duda spoke to Do Rzeczy and accused Ukraine (specifically Zelenskyy) of this. Hungarian Conservative +2 Военное дело +2 Drones entering Polish airspace; Poland shot down drones in recent events Confirmed Multiple credible reports (e.g. Reuters, MTV Uutiset) describe that Polish airspace was breached by drones (allegedly Russian), Poland shot several down, and there were multiple incursions. mtvuutiset.fi +2 Reuters +2 Claim that the drone incident was a “false flag” by Ukraine, or part of a plan to push Poland into war Unverified / Opinion / Speculative This is largely reported in commentary / opinion outlets. I did not find mainstream confirmation of data showing that Ukraine orchestrated those drone incursions (as of this date). The framing of “false flag” or “part of plan to drag Poland to war” appears in conservative commentary but lacks clear evidence. Hungarian Conservative +1 Claim that decision-making about Poland’s involvement is being made in London, Berlin, Washington rather than in Kyiv or Warsaw Unverified I found no credible source confirming this exact claim. It seems to be part of the opinion piece’s narrative. Polling showing 38% of Poles believe Ukraine sent the drones, 34% believe Russia did Unverified / not found in credible sources I did not find a reliable poll reported in established media that matches those numbers exactly. If this poll exists, it is not widely cited in major international outlets (as of my search). Claims about Sikorski organizing paramilitary training for Right Sector in 2013 in Leganovo, Poland Unverified / not found I found no credible evidence supporting that specific claim. It may be part of political commentary or contested discourse but doesn’t appear in confirmed historical sources (in mainstream reporting) that I located. |
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